Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.094572 0.105047 0.115712 0.127355 0.139678 0.152305 0.166196
2025-05-25 0.078386 0.094346 0.111341 0.130653 0.151860 0.174319 0.199784
2025-06-01 0.064047 0.082852 0.103678 0.128141 0.155799 0.185833 0.220653
2025-06-08 0.053254 0.073708 0.097182 0.125568 0.158456 0.194905 0.237910
2025-06-15 0.047595 0.069747 0.095930 0.128330 0.166582 0.209628 0.261077
2025-06-22 0.042303 0.065589 0.093908 0.129714 0.172718 0.221774 0.281075
2025-06-29 0.039474 0.064176 0.094933 0.134496 0.182655 0.238170 0.305856
2025-07-06 0.035291 0.060577 0.092900 0.135269 0.187589 0.248569 0.323581
2025-07-13 0.035120 0.062282 0.097549 0.144282 0.202463 0.270694 0.355042
2025-07-20 0.030425 0.057329 0.093272 0.141831 0.203155 0.275845 0.366468
2025-07-27 0.028744 0.056492 0.094288 0.146013 0.211946 0.290639 0.389275
2025-08-03 0.026102 0.054011 0.092921 0.146982 0.216638 0.300429 0.406098
2025-08-10 0.024320 0.052852 0.093506 0.150775 0.225280 0.315532 0.429962
2025-08-17 0.022229 0.051060 0.093146 0.153321 0.232418 0.328938 0.452003
2025-08-24 0.018773 0.046694 0.088851 0.150363 0.232333 0.333329 0.463046
2025-08-31 0.015760 0.042687 0.084795 0.147495 0.232180 0.337500 0.473718
2025-09-07 0.014533 0.041664 0.085067 0.150531 0.239690 0.351208 0.496056
2025-09-14 0.013072 0.040040 0.084316 0.152054 0.245155 0.362327 0.515215
2025-09-21 0.012556 0.040152 0.086214 0.157313 0.255587 0.379739 0.542185
2025-09-28 0.011174 0.038395 0.085077 0.158163 0.260087 0.389618 0.559838
2025-10-05 0.011678 0.040525 0.090175 0.168057 0.276796 0.415095 0.596941
2025-10-12 0.009778 0.037408 0.086677 0.165368 0.276460 0.418787 0.606920
2025-10-19 0.009328 0.037359 0.088161 0.169955 0.285990 0.435126 0.632712